What is the chance of receiving a Sinnoh Stone or Rare Candy in a leader or trainer (PvP) battle?












1















My questions are:




  • What is the probability of receiving a Sinnoh Stone in a team leader or PvP battle?

  • What is the probability of receiving a Rare Candy in a leader or PvP battle?

  • Do any factors influence these probabilities e.g. if you win or lose?


Previously when only Sinnoh Stones and Stardust were obtainable from these battles, the observed chance was about 1 in 7, and this was not affected by if the battle was vs a leader or another player, or if the battle was won or lost. However two factors have changed since this analysis:




  • Rare Candies are now obtainable prizes

  • As of yesterday, the number of battles vs both the leader and PvP that can award prizes has increased to 5 (10 total). Since this change, I have heard complaints of a decreased Sinnoh Stone drop rate per battle, something which I have noticed myself - however this could just be chance.










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  • For the 2nd factor, the February community day announcement stated the increased number of rewards from 3 to 5 was for the community day weekend only. Not sure if that changes anything though

    – Wondercricket
    2 days ago











  • I thought that would be the case, but when they increased the number of battles that can award prizes the day before, I wasn't entirely sure if it would be a permanent change. They did say that the guaranteed Sinnoh Stones for these battles was only for the weekend, in contrast to the number of battles that could get rewards

    – MBorg
    2 days ago
















1















My questions are:




  • What is the probability of receiving a Sinnoh Stone in a team leader or PvP battle?

  • What is the probability of receiving a Rare Candy in a leader or PvP battle?

  • Do any factors influence these probabilities e.g. if you win or lose?


Previously when only Sinnoh Stones and Stardust were obtainable from these battles, the observed chance was about 1 in 7, and this was not affected by if the battle was vs a leader or another player, or if the battle was won or lost. However two factors have changed since this analysis:




  • Rare Candies are now obtainable prizes

  • As of yesterday, the number of battles vs both the leader and PvP that can award prizes has increased to 5 (10 total). Since this change, I have heard complaints of a decreased Sinnoh Stone drop rate per battle, something which I have noticed myself - however this could just be chance.










share|improve this question

























  • For the 2nd factor, the February community day announcement stated the increased number of rewards from 3 to 5 was for the community day weekend only. Not sure if that changes anything though

    – Wondercricket
    2 days ago











  • I thought that would be the case, but when they increased the number of battles that can award prizes the day before, I wasn't entirely sure if it would be a permanent change. They did say that the guaranteed Sinnoh Stones for these battles was only for the weekend, in contrast to the number of battles that could get rewards

    – MBorg
    2 days ago














1












1








1








My questions are:




  • What is the probability of receiving a Sinnoh Stone in a team leader or PvP battle?

  • What is the probability of receiving a Rare Candy in a leader or PvP battle?

  • Do any factors influence these probabilities e.g. if you win or lose?


Previously when only Sinnoh Stones and Stardust were obtainable from these battles, the observed chance was about 1 in 7, and this was not affected by if the battle was vs a leader or another player, or if the battle was won or lost. However two factors have changed since this analysis:




  • Rare Candies are now obtainable prizes

  • As of yesterday, the number of battles vs both the leader and PvP that can award prizes has increased to 5 (10 total). Since this change, I have heard complaints of a decreased Sinnoh Stone drop rate per battle, something which I have noticed myself - however this could just be chance.










share|improve this question
















My questions are:




  • What is the probability of receiving a Sinnoh Stone in a team leader or PvP battle?

  • What is the probability of receiving a Rare Candy in a leader or PvP battle?

  • Do any factors influence these probabilities e.g. if you win or lose?


Previously when only Sinnoh Stones and Stardust were obtainable from these battles, the observed chance was about 1 in 7, and this was not affected by if the battle was vs a leader or another player, or if the battle was won or lost. However two factors have changed since this analysis:




  • Rare Candies are now obtainable prizes

  • As of yesterday, the number of battles vs both the leader and PvP that can award prizes has increased to 5 (10 total). Since this change, I have heard complaints of a decreased Sinnoh Stone drop rate per battle, something which I have noticed myself - however this could just be chance.







pokemon-go






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edited 16 mins ago







MBorg

















asked Feb 16 at 1:11









MBorgMBorg

1,038320




1,038320













  • For the 2nd factor, the February community day announcement stated the increased number of rewards from 3 to 5 was for the community day weekend only. Not sure if that changes anything though

    – Wondercricket
    2 days ago











  • I thought that would be the case, but when they increased the number of battles that can award prizes the day before, I wasn't entirely sure if it would be a permanent change. They did say that the guaranteed Sinnoh Stones for these battles was only for the weekend, in contrast to the number of battles that could get rewards

    – MBorg
    2 days ago



















  • For the 2nd factor, the February community day announcement stated the increased number of rewards from 3 to 5 was for the community day weekend only. Not sure if that changes anything though

    – Wondercricket
    2 days ago











  • I thought that would be the case, but when they increased the number of battles that can award prizes the day before, I wasn't entirely sure if it would be a permanent change. They did say that the guaranteed Sinnoh Stones for these battles was only for the weekend, in contrast to the number of battles that could get rewards

    – MBorg
    2 days ago

















For the 2nd factor, the February community day announcement stated the increased number of rewards from 3 to 5 was for the community day weekend only. Not sure if that changes anything though

– Wondercricket
2 days ago





For the 2nd factor, the February community day announcement stated the increased number of rewards from 3 to 5 was for the community day weekend only. Not sure if that changes anything though

– Wondercricket
2 days ago













I thought that would be the case, but when they increased the number of battles that can award prizes the day before, I wasn't entirely sure if it would be a permanent change. They did say that the guaranteed Sinnoh Stones for these battles was only for the weekend, in contrast to the number of battles that could get rewards

– MBorg
2 days ago





I thought that would be the case, but when they increased the number of battles that can award prizes the day before, I wasn't entirely sure if it would be a permanent change. They did say that the guaranteed Sinnoh Stones for these battles was only for the weekend, in contrast to the number of battles that could get rewards

– MBorg
2 days ago










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